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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Mickey Moniak

Mickey Moniak

OF·COL
Compare
Compare
PA
418
H
86
HR
14
AVG
.219
xwOBA
.286
PPG
1.28
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202643164.280.337.607.327.32324.4%6.1%18.3%1211142.65—
2025135461.270
2024 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

418 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
3
.286
xBA
3
.214
.308
.518
.248
.339
23.9%
4.8%
19.1%
24
9
276
2.04
—
2024128418.219.266.380.161.28627.3%5.0%22.3%1491641.28—
202385323.280.307.495.215.30835.0%2.8%32.2%1461541.81—
202247112.170.207.302.132.20639.3%3.6%35.7%32651.38—
20212137.091.167.182.091.20643.2%8.1%35.1%10-1-0.05—
2020618.214.389.214.000.34533.3%22.2%11.1%0040.67—
xSLG
14
.381
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
18
87.7
Median EV
12
90.0
90th % EV
56
105.4
Barrel %
53
9.3
Hard-Hit %
12
34.4
Sweet-Spot %
26
33.7
Bat Speed
Avg
69
71.7
Median
65
72.6
90th %
60
77.1
Plate Discipline
Chase %
3
38.8
Whiff %
17
27.4
K %
13
27.3
BB %
6
5.0
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
90
≈ 16th pctl
Chase cost
-34.9r
377 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-8.8r
156 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
56.2%
1,538 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.84
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
12+20%10+33%15+0%1134+70%10+20%30+22%37-6%31+36%28+35%23+0%13+62%37+21%47-19%67-24%58-19%57+59%37+44%9+53%34+15%34-22%54-26%54-16%38+84%19+33%6+20%25+68%25+54%24+16%19+53%1752+17%63+33%62311CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000