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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Mickey Moniak

Mickey Moniak

OF·COL
Compare
Compare
PA
461
H
117
HR
24
AVG
.270
xwOBA
.339
PPG
2.04
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202643164.280.337.607.327.32324.4%6.1%18.3%1211142.65—
2025135461.270
2025 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

461 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
58
.339
xBA
52
.256
.308
.518
.248
.339
23.9%
4.8%
19.1%
24
9
276
2.04
—
2024128418.219.266.380.161.28627.3%5.0%22.3%1491641.28—
202385323.280.307.495.215.30835.0%2.8%32.2%1461541.81—
202247112.170.207.302.132.20639.3%3.6%35.7%32651.38—
20212137.091.167.182.091.20643.2%8.1%35.1%10-1-0.05—
2020618.214.389.214.000.34533.3%22.2%11.1%0040.67—
xSLG
79
.485
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
39
89.6
Median EV
51
93.3
90th % EV
57
106.0
Barrel %
80
13.8
Hard-Hit %
53
45.3
Sweet-Spot %
82
39.1
Bat Speed
Avg
74
72.0
Median
69
73.3
90th %
60
77.6
Plate Discipline
Chase %
6
37.7
Whiff %
28
26.1
K %
30
23.9
BB %
6
4.8
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
90
≈ 17th pctl
Chase cost
-38.5r
372 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-8.4r
166 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
56.1%
1,631 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.88
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
3+0%6+43%7+10%10+0%651+23%13+44%25+23%31+11%44+19%31+24%215+79%14+29%38-29%68-17%72-10%48+57%35+41%17+68%28+13%45-11%66-12%64-7%40+72%18+33%6+41%27+62%21+50%28+36%22+50%10+60%1023+0%735321CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000