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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Mike Ford

Mike Ford

1B·FA
Compare
Compare
BF
12
K %
0.0%
BB %
8.3%
xwOBA
.628
PTS
-8
PPG
-4.00
Career Seasons
YrGGSIPWLSVHLDERAFIPK%BB%K-BB%xwOBABABIPLOB%GB%PtsPPG
2023202.0000018.0017.600.0%8.3%-8.3%.628.33362.5%27.3%-8-4.00
2023 MLB Percentiles

Pitching Profile

12 BF — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Arsenal
FB Velo
0
—
FB Spin
0
—
2022
1
0
1.0
0
0
0
0
18.00
19.10
0.0%
20.0%
-20.0%
.352
.000
0.0%
25.0%
-3
-3.00
2019102.0000022.5015.108.3%0.0%8.3%.416.44431.3%27.3%-9-9.00
Extension
0
4.90
Results
xwOBA
0
.628
Barrel %
0
27.3
Hard-Hit %
6
45.5
K %
0
0.0
BB %
34
8.3
Chase %
0
19.2
Whiff %
0
0.0
Command & Stuff

Pitching+

Expected run-value conceded per pitch against a rational hitter, standardized against the season. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Pitching+
-48
≈ 1th pctl
Stuff+
-35
if they swing
Command+
82
out-of-zone take RV
Strike quality+
-4
RV of in-zone pitches
Crushable pitches
61.9%
26 meatballs
Putaway counts (0-2, 1-2)
0.081
RV per pitch · league 0.048
+0.034 worse than avg · 8 pitches
Lower RV = more wasted whiff chances when they choose not to put hitters away.
Hitter's counts (3-0, 3-1, 2-0)
0.047
RV per pitch · league 0.030
+0.017 worse than avg · 7 pitches
How often they groove get-me-overs vs. nibble safely.
Based on 42 pitches. RV = Statcast delta_run_exp; lower = better for the pitcher.
Pitch Arsenal
PitchUsageVeloSpinIVBHBExtWhiff%Zone%CSW%Chase%PutAway%xwOBA
OtherFA
95.2%64.81291+15.1+6.74.910.0%40.0%20.0%20.8%0.0%0.628
SliderSL
4.8%63.21886

2023 Movement Profile (Induced Break)

MLB Avg.
6"12"18"24"24"24"24"1B ◀ MOVES TOWARD ▶ 3B▲MORERISE▼MOREDROPARMANGLE52°100 PITCHSAMPLE
FASL
Usage95%5%
MPH64.863.2
RHP Avg67.485.8
-0.3
-3.2
4.80
—
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
—

2023 Swing-Out Snapshot

Commit at the decision point, then fast-forward 150ms. Where is each pitch when your bat crosses the zone? Two views of the same moment — catcher-facing and from the side.

Catcher View
horizontal × vertical
0.5′1′1.5′2′2.5′3′DECISIONPOINTFA · 18″SL · 22″arm side ◀ ▶ glove sidedrops ◀ ▶ rises
Side View
depth × vertical
1′2′3′4′5′6′-3′0′5′10′15′20′23′FA · 99″SL · 103″DECISION POINTPLATEfeet to plate
swing time150 ms

Each pitch is launched from a shared decision point (5.58′ height) and advanced using its own Statcast kinematics (release velocity + constant acceleration, so gravity, drag, and Magnus are all in the curve). RHP.

2023 Tunneling

Where pitches are when the hitter commits — and where they end up. Tighter cluster on the left = more deceptive arsenal.

At Decision
23 ft out · ~280ms before arrival
FASL-2′-1′0′1′2′1′2′3′4′1B ◀ catcher view ▶ 3B
At the Plate
Where they actually cross
FASL-2′-1′0′1′2′1′2′3′4′1B ◀ catcher view ▶ 3B
FASL

Decision point computed from Statcast kinematics (vx0/vy0/vz0, ax/ay/az) by projecting each pitch back to y = 23 ft. Coordinates in catcher’s view: 1B on the left, 3B on the right. RHP.