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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Position cohort

Hitting value vs. OF peers

Rank #17 of 234

Each bar is one OF, ordered left-to-right by Value (blended). Center dot is VORP; whiskers span V⁻ → V⁺. This player is highlighted in blue.

-500+50+100+150+200Mike Trout
Mike Trout · #17
V⁻ -5VORP 45V⁺ 66
Mike Trout

Mike Trout

OF·LAA
Compare
Compare
PA
300
H
52
HR
14
AVG
.220
xwOBA
.422
PPG
2.70
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
Proj90387.246.369.484.238.37827.3%15.3%12.0%2042252.50—
202667300.220
2026 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

Expected Results
xwOBA
97
.422
xBA
41
.251
xSLG
.387
.441
.221
.422
24.3%
20.3%
4.0%
14
5
181
2.70
—
2025135558.231.361.437.206.36731.9%15.6%16.3%2622631.95—
202434126.220.325.541.321.41221.4%12.7%8.7%106952.79—
202385363.262.368.489.227.39328.7%12.4%16.3%1822022.38—
2022126500.282.369.629.347.40527.8%10.8%17.0%4013682.92—
202144146.333.466.624.291.43728.1%18.5%9.6%821192.70—
202056241.281.397.603.322.43423.2%14.5%8.7%1711923.43—
2019140600.291.441.645.354.47120.0%18.3%1.7%45115463.90—
2018147608.312.463.628.316.45420.4%20.1%0.3%39255253.57—
2017124507.306.445.629.323.43817.8%18.5%-0.7%33244733.81—
96
.555
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
83
91.7
Median EV
76
94.9
90th % EV
92
109.1
Barrel %
97
21.1
Hard-Hit %
89
51.6
Sweet-Spot %
65
37.9
Bat Speed
Avg
80
73.2
Median
87
75.1
90th %
86
79.9
Plate Discipline
Chase %
98
18.5
Whiff %
51
20.7
K %
26
24.3
BB %
99
20.3
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
113
≈ 91th pctl
Chase cost
-4.9r
49 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-3.9r
73 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
35.8%
444 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-1.97
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
1211111-25%8+17%12+0%12+0%953-21%14-30%20-28%25-44%18+0%20+0%7+29%7+31%16-39%23-38%39-8%24+27%15+0%104+20%10+15%27+6%18-6%17+13%8443+10%101452CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 444