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    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
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    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
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    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
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    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Position cohort

Pitching value vs. RP peers

Rank #221 of 508

Each bar is one RP, ordered left-to-right by Value (blended). Center dot is VORP; whiskers span V⁻ → V⁺. This player is highlighted in blue.

0+50+100Mitch Spence
Mitch Spence · #60
V⁻ —VORP -41V⁺ —
Mitch Spence

Mitch Spence

SP / RP·KCR
Compare
Compare
BF
41
K %
9.8%
BB %
14.6%
xwOBA
.348
PTS
-18
PPG
-9.00
Career Seasons
YrGGSIPWLSVHLDERAFIPK%BB%K-BB%xwOBABABIPLOB%GB%PtsPPG
Proj19124.011004.754.1916.9%7.2%9.7%————311.63
2026 MLB Percentiles

Pitching Profile

41 BF — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Arsenal
FB Velo
23
91.8
FB Spin
92
2491
2026
2
1
8.0
0
1
0
0
13.50
5.98
9.8%
14.6%
-4.8%
.348
.333
32.1%
51.6%
-18
-9.00
202534888.736154.974.8417.6%6.9%10.7%.367.31067.2%43.9%1133.32
20243624154.0810014.504.1219.2%6.7%12.5%.319.32073.4%48.4%2145.94
Extension
21
6.18
Results
xwOBA
19
.348
Barrel %
99
3.2
Hard-Hit %
59
38.7
K %
0
9.8
BB %
0
14.6
Chase %
6
24.7
Whiff %
0
12.3