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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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MJ Melendez

MJ Melendez

OF·NYM
Compare
Compare
PA
603
H
125
HR
16
AVG
.234
xwOBA
.328
PPG
1.58
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202642108.198.311.396.198.27431.5%9.3%22.2%40370.88—
20252366.082
2023 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

Expected Results
xwOBA
37
.328
xBA
9
.230
xSLG
.152
.164
.082
.207
34.8%
4.5%
30.3%
1
0
-4
-0.17
—
2024144451.206.273.400.194.32325.1%7.8%17.3%1741971.37—
2023153603.234.317.397.163.32828.2%10.3%17.9%1662411.58—
2022137537.216.315.391.175.33824.4%12.3%12.1%1822551.86—
48
.438
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
94
93.2
Median EV
84
94.9
90th % EV
50
105.2
Barrel %
72
11.4
Hard-Hit %
86
49.6
Sweet-Spot %
59
37.1
Bat Speed
Avg
53
70.6
Median
49
71.6
90th %
47
76.5
Plate Discipline
Chase %
56
26.8
Whiff %
4
31.4
K %
7
28.2
BB %
69
10.3
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
103
≈ 61th pctl
Chase cost
-43.7r
428 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-16.3r
310 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
47.9%
2,466 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.43
lg avg -2.54
Count
View
5+0%6+0%6+10%10+0%10+0%10+0%6+40%10+40%35+30%47-3%38+12%25+17%23+0%12+31%16+17%52-23%71-21%75-6%49+32%22+10%10+32%31-6%49-16%56-6%49-16%38+34%293+21%19+16%19+12%17+13%15-15%13+13%82345111CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000