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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Position cohort

Hitting value vs. SS peers

Rank #2 of 64

Each bar is one SS, ordered left-to-right by Value (blended). Center dot is VORP; whiskers span V⁻ → V⁺. This player is highlighted in blue.

-200-1000+100Mookie Betts
Mookie Betts · #2
V⁻ 52VORP 85V⁺ 137
Mookie Betts

Mookie Betts

SS·LAD
Compare
Compare
PA
133
H
22
HR
6
AVG
.183
xwOBA
.331
PPG
2.38
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
Proj94404.266.349.455.189.35612.2%10.7%1.4%1562732.91—
202632133.183
2026 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

133 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
47
.331
xBA
60
.263
.258
.358
.175
.331
12.0%
8.3%
3.7%
6
0
76
2.38
—
2025168664.258.330.405.147.33210.2%9.2%1.0%2084562.71—
2024135516.289.375.491.202.36611.0%11.8%-0.8%19184623.42—
2023160693.307.411.579.272.41015.4%13.9%1.5%39145913.69—
2022154639.269.342.533.264.35116.3%8.6%7.7%35124833.14—
2021141550.264.371.487.223.35915.6%12.4%3.2%23164283.04—
202073247.291.366.559.268.36415.4%9.7%5.7%16162793.82—
2019153708.294.395.523.229.41614.3%13.7%0.6%29165423.54—
2018157616.345.440.638.293.43714.8%13.1%1.7%32316273.99—
2017165713.264.346.458.194.34611.1%10.8%0.3%24275483.32—
xSLG
54
.430
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
51
89.9
Median EV
67
93.9
90th % EV
10
100.5
Barrel %
47
8.6
Hard-Hit %
17
35.2
Sweet-Spot %
92
41.9
Bat Speed
Avg
12
67.1
Median
13
68.4
90th %
25
74.6
Plate Discipline
Chase %
90
21.9
Whiff %
91
13.0
K %
91
12.0
BB %
34
8.3
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
103
≈ 63th pctl
Chase cost
-2.4r
23 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-1.7r
31 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
39.4%
170 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.39
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
121153-17%6+17%64323-23%13-43%7-56%942+0%65-37%16-36%11-50%10244+57%7-14%72212131CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 170