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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Position cohort

Hitting value vs. SS peers

Rank #59 of 64

Each bar is one SS, ordered left-to-right by Value (blended). Center dot is VORP; whiskers span V⁻ → V⁺. This player is highlighted in blue.

-200-1000+100Nick Allen
Nick Allen · #59
V⁻ —VORP -10V⁺ —
Nick Allen

Nick Allen

2B / SS·HOU
Compare
Compare
PA
70
H
17
HR
1
AVG
.266
xwOBA
.247
PPG
1.04
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
Proj1879.230.289.310.080.27520.0%7.5%12.4%12271.52—
20262770.266
2026 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

70 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
0
.247
xBA
13
.222
.309
.344
.078
.247
20.0%
4.3%
15.7%
1
1
28
1.04
—
2025136416.221.286.251.030.25223.8%7.5%16.3%08940.69—
202440105.175.216.247.072.23119.0%4.8%14.2%10260.65—
2023101330.220.264.286.066.25215.8%5.2%10.6%461071.06—
2022100326.207.257.291.084.24619.6%5.8%13.8%431041.04—
xSLG
1
.283
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
1
81.8
Median EV
2
85.8
90th % EV
11
100.9
Barrel %
3
1.9
Hard-Hit %
9
30.8
Sweet-Spot %
0
19.2
Bat Speed
Avg
5
65.9
Median
15
68.8
90th %
6
71.4
Plate Discipline
Chase %
91
21.7
Whiff %
31
25.0
K %
55
20.0
BB %
5
4.3
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
97
≈ 38th pctl
Chase cost
-1.8r
14 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-0.7r
16 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
47.9%
96 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.66
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
11235212+10%10-37%8-33%64512-20%10-29%7432142112CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 96