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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Nick Allen

Nick Allen

2B / SS·HOU
Compare
Compare
PA
330
H
67
HR
4
AVG
.220
xwOBA
.252
PPG
1.06
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
20262770.266.309.344.078.24720.0%4.3%15.7%11281.04—
2025136416.221
2023 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

330 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
0
.252
xBA
3
.218
.286
.251
.030
.252
23.8%
7.5%
16.3%
0
8
94
0.69
—
202440105.175.216.247.072.23119.0%4.8%14.2%10260.65—
2023101330.220.264.286.066.25215.8%5.2%10.6%461071.06—
2022100326.207.257.291.084.24619.6%5.8%13.8%431041.04—
xSLG
0
.289
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
0
82.1
Median EV
0
85.6
90th % EV
3
99.6
Barrel %
1
1.2
Hard-Hit %
3
26.6
Sweet-Spot %
1
29.0
Bat Speed
Avg
3
63.7
Median
3
65.7
90th %
3
70.6
Plate Discipline
Chase %
41
28.8
Whiff %
79
17.1
K %
81
15.8
BB %
6
5.2
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
111
≈ 87th pctl
Chase cost
-16.3r
200 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-8.7r
171 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
48.6%
1,174 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.13
lg avg -2.54
Count
View
34+17%634+50%6+17%12+23%31+39%31+38%24+13%84+12%26-27%48-29%45-17%75+13%48+46%284+40%25-4%52-26%78-29%80+0%50+29%145+42%19+24%34+9%34+13%32+18%22+0%142+0%8+0%8+8%13+0%6+0%111CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000