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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Nick Allen

Nick Allen

2B / SS·HOU
Compare
Compare
PA
416
H
82
HR
0
AVG
.221
xwOBA
.252
PPG
0.69
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
20262770.266.309.344.078.24720.0%4.3%15.7%11281.04—
2025136416.221
2025 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

416 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
0
.252
xBA
4
.223
.286
.251
.030
.252
23.8%
7.5%
16.3%
0
8
94
0.69
—
202440105.175.216.247.072.23119.0%4.8%14.2%10260.65—
2023101330.220.264.286.066.25215.8%5.2%10.6%461071.06—
2022100326.207.257.291.084.24619.6%5.8%13.8%431041.04—
xSLG
0
.270
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
0
82.5
Median EV
0
86.5
90th % EV
1
99.1
Barrel %
0
0.0
Hard-Hit %
1
21.6
Sweet-Spot %
3
30.7
Bat Speed
Avg
1
61.7
Median
2
64.2
90th %
1
68.6
Plate Discipline
Chase %
66
24.8
Whiff %
71
19.5
K %
30
23.8
BB %
35
7.5
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
111
≈ 87th pctl
Chase cost
-20.4r
234 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-13.0r
243 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
47.9%
1,582 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.11
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
2434312+60%10+35%17+5%22+27%22+20%15+0%94+53%19-14%43-25%61-18%67+5%39+28%18+0%7+40%15-21%38-32%93-28%87-26%46+23%22+17%6+27%22+17%42+22%45+4%45+4%23+13%82+20%10+17%12+0%16+0%10421CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000