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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Nick Gonzales

Nick Gonzales

2B / 3B·PIT
Compare
Compare
PA
388
H
97
HR
7
AVG
.269
xwOBA
.323
PPG
1.97
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202664259.301.353.372.071.33117.4%6.2%11.2%231332.08—
202598409.259
2024 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

388 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
30
.323
xBA
73
.264
.301
.361
.102
.292
17.8%
5.1%
12.7%
5
0
153
1.56
—
202495388.269.313.397.128.32319.1%4.6%14.5%741871.97—
202335129.207.270.345.138.25627.9%4.7%23.2%20391.11—
xSLG
40
.416
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
18
87.7
Median EV
15
90.1
90th % EV
23
103.4
Barrel %
43
7.9
Hard-Hit %
22
36.9
Sweet-Spot %
53
35.9
Bat Speed
Avg
31
69.3
Median
28
70.5
90th %
33
75.4
Plate Discipline
Chase %
13
34.1
Whiff %
44
23.0
K %
62
19.1
BB %
5
4.6
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
97
≈ 38th pctl
Chase cost
-29.7r
288 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-6.5r
131 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
56.2%
1,378 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.63
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
3344+50%6-12%8+30%20+50%20+35%17+53%173+44%16+11%27-12%48-11%63-12%41+56%25+0%10+53%19+11%55-20%75-16%68-6%52+34%29+6%18+37%30+58%38+20%54+13%38+21%19+38%85+20%10+16%19+19%21+15%13+0%12CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000