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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Nick Gonzales

Nick Gonzales

2B / 3B·PIT
Compare
Compare
PA
409
H
99
HR
5
AVG
.259
xwOBA
.292
PPG
1.56
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202661242.309.361.386.077.33817.4%6.2%11.2%231292.11—
202598409.259
2025 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

409 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
4
.292
xBA
40
.248
.301
.361
.102
.292
17.8%
5.1%
12.7%
5
0
153
1.56
—
202495388.269.313.397.128.32319.1%4.6%14.5%741871.97—
202335129.207.270.345.138.25627.9%4.7%23.2%20391.11—
xSLG
7
.363
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
27
88.8
Median EV
30
92.0
90th % EV
27
104.0
Barrel %
7
4.5
Hard-Hit %
23
38.8
Sweet-Spot %
24
34.3
Bat Speed
Avg
20
68.6
Median
20
70.0
90th %
30
75.4
Plate Discipline
Chase %
25
31.6
Whiff %
44
22.9
K %
70
17.8
BB %
8
5.1
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
109
≈ 81th pctl
Chase cost
-24.4r
262 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-6.8r
125 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
57.4%
1,414 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.21
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
11+33%6+36%112114+31%13-5%21+28%36+29%28+40%103+21%24+7%30-12%64-21%68-11%55+58%33+0%8+41%29-7%45-16%73-8%51-12%50+50%285+37%19+39%51+22%45+18%34+28%18+17%63+11%9+40%10+15%13+0%8331CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000