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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
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    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Position cohort

Hitting value vs. 3B peers

Rank #24 of 57

Each bar is one 3B, ordered left-to-right by Value (blended). Center dot is VORP; whiskers span V⁻ → V⁺. This player is highlighted in blue.

-200-1000+100Nick Gonzales
Nick Gonzales · #24
V⁻ -36VORP -9V⁺ 12
Nick Gonzales

Nick Gonzales

2B / 3B·PIT
Compare
Compare
PA
408
H
116
HR
6
AVG
.311
xwOBA
.320
PPG
2.25
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
Proj80347.267.321.387.120.31619.6%6.4%13.2%531581.98—
2026100408.311
2026 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

Expected Results
xwOBA
36
.320
xBA
81
.277
xSLG
.369
.410
.099
.320
17.9%
6.9%
11.0%
6
4
225
2.25
—
202598409.259.301.361.102.29217.8%5.1%12.7%501531.56—
202495388.269.313.397.128.32319.1%4.6%14.5%741871.97—
202335129.207.270.345.138.25627.9%4.7%23.2%20391.11—
29
.377
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
9
85.7
Median EV
26
90.3
90th % EV
34
103.6
Barrel %
8
3.0
Hard-Hit %
25
36.5
Sweet-Spot %
29
33.9
Bat Speed
Avg
26
68.8
Median
15
68.9
90th %
17
73.6
Plate Discipline
Chase %
36
31.9
Whiff %
48
21.8
K %
68
17.9
BB %
22
6.9
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
93
≈ 26th pctl
Chase cost
-4.9r
60 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-2.4r
35 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
58.5%
260 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.80
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
1114145342+67%6-8%12-32%19-31%13+0%1355+33%9+11%18-29%21-15%20+15%1341+64%14+27%11+25%8211411511CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 260