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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Position cohort

Hitting value vs. 3B peers

Each bar is one 3B, ordered left-to-right by Value (blended). Center dot is VORP; whiskers span V⁻ → V⁺.

-500+50+100+150
Nick Madrigal

Nick Madrigal

3B·LAA
Compare
Compare
PA
39
H
12
HR
0
AVG
.364
xwOBA
.313
PPG
2.25
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
Proj731.253.312.305.052.28210.9%6.2%4.7%00141.96—
20261239.364
2026 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

39 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
30
.313
xBA
43
.253
.462
.394
.030
.313
5.1%
12.8%
-7.7%
0
1
27
2.25
—
20243895.218.277.253.035.27110.5%4.2%6.3%01360.95—
202393294.263.311.352.089.2978.2%3.4%4.8%281621.74—
202266228.249.305.282.033.28411.8%6.1%5.7%03961.45—
202159215.305.350.425.120.2897.9%5.1%2.8%221462.47—
202035109.340.376.369.029.3136.4%3.7%2.7%02601.71—
xSLG
4
.308
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
35
88.7
Median EV
0
—
90th % EV
0
—
Barrel %
0
0.0
Hard-Hit %
7
29.0
Sweet-Spot %
20
32.3
Bat Speed
Avg
3
64.5
Median
0
—
90th %
0
—
Plate Discipline
Chase %
33
32.0
Whiff %
99
7.4
K %
99
5.1
BB %
77
12.8