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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Nick Madrigal

Nick Madrigal

3B·LAA
Compare
Compare
PA
294
H
71
HR
2
AVG
.263
xwOBA
.297
PPG
1.74
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
20261031.346.452.385.039.3396.5%12.9%-6.4%00191.90—
20243895.218
2023 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

294 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
7
.297
xBA
82
.276
.277
.253
.035
.271
10.5%
4.2%
6.3%
0
1
36
0.95
—
202393294.263.311.352.089.2978.2%3.4%4.8%281621.74—
202266228.249.305.282.033.28411.8%6.1%5.7%03961.45—
202159215.305.350.425.120.2897.9%5.1%2.8%221462.47—
202035109.340.376.369.029.3136.4%3.7%2.7%02601.71—
xSLG
2
.342
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
2
84.7
Median EV
3
88.0
90th % EV
3
99.3
Barrel %
0
0.8
Hard-Hit %
6
27.5
Sweet-Spot %
6
30.7
Bat Speed
Avg
3
64.1
Median
3
65.9
90th %
3
70.1
Plate Discipline
Chase %
40
29.2
Whiff %
99
7.8
K %
99
8.2
BB %
1
3.4
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
98
≈ 43th pctl
Chase cost
-13.3r
171 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-14.4r
248 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
44.8%
1,062 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.60
lg avg -2.54
Count
View
354-17%62324+15%20+0%24+6%34+6%16+0%71+38%16-27%52-32%65-36%67-17%53+35%234+39%23-26%53-40%92-38%61+9%43+40%15+0%7+12%25+45%31+14%36-5%37+0%26+38%83+13%8+11%9+21%14+0%7-12%831CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000