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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Nick Senzel

Nick Senzel

3B / OF·FA
Compare
Compare
PA
331
H
71
HR
13
AVG
.235
xwOBA
.297
PPG
1.68
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202478267.195.283.331.136.30522.8%10.5%12.3%71971.24—
2023100331.235
2023 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

331 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
7
.297
xBA
20
.241
.298
.397
.162
.297
22.4%
7.9%
14.5%
13
6
168
1.68
—
2022119421.230.296.305.075.31218.1%7.1%11.0%5101891.59—
202139124.252.325.315.063.35812.9%9.7%3.2%12611.56—
20202778.186.250.357.171.30019.2%7.7%11.5%22331.22—
2019102417.254.314.423.169.31024.2%7.2%17.0%12142052.01—
xSLG
7
.365
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
12
87.2
Median EV
9
89.2
90th % EV
14
102.8
Barrel %
10
4.8
Hard-Hit %
12
34.1
Sweet-Spot %
3
30.1
Bat Speed
Avg
20
68.4
Median
17
69.5
90th %
13
73.3
Plate Discipline
Chase %
59
26.6
Whiff %
62
19.9
K %
37
22.4
BB %
36
7.9
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
108
≈ 80th pctl
Chase cost
-16.9r
189 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-9.5r
153 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
49.2%
1,184 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.23
lg avg -2.54
Count
View
14+33%63+14%721+50%10+7%15+9%22+28%32+18%17+25%83+31%13-11%38-18%56-9%55+5%41+62%26+10%10+27%26-19%53-20%75-25%75-23%47+46%26+43%7+30%20+27%30+0%43+9%47+0%33+13%1654+0%8+14%14+9%11+0%633CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000