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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Nick Senzel

Nick Senzel

3B / OF·FA
Compare
Compare
PA
267
H
46
HR
7
AVG
.195
xwOBA
.305
PPG
1.24
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202478267.195.283.331.136.30522.8%10.5%12.3%71971.24—
2023100331.235
2024 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

267 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
10
.305
xBA
7
.224
.298
.397
.162
.297
22.4%
7.9%
14.5%
13
6
168
1.68
—
2022119421.230.296.305.075.31218.1%7.1%11.0%5101891.59—
202139124.252.325.315.063.35812.9%9.7%3.2%12611.56—
20202778.186.250.357.171.30019.2%7.7%11.5%22331.22—
2019102417.254.314.423.169.31024.2%7.2%17.0%12142052.01—
xSLG
6
.357
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
2
83.5
Median EV
1
87.5
90th % EV
6
100.3
Barrel %
18
5.7
Hard-Hit %
3
26.7
Sweet-Spot %
81
38.6
Bat Speed
Avg
8
66.5
Median
13
68.4
90th %
10
73.1
Plate Discipline
Chase %
70
24.9
Whiff %
47
22.4
K %
38
22.8
BB %
73
10.5
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
115
≈ 93th pctl
Chase cost
-12.9r
145 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-7.9r
148 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
47.1%
1,011 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.05
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
21+33%6+20%10+14%711+33%6+25%12+22%23+21%14+40%10+13%83+40%15-10%51-20%44-27%49-19%48+50%22+13%8+30%30-4%73-24%88-30%84-25%52+53%15+0%11+39%28+22%45+2%46+16%25+0%1952+0%7+0%12+10%20+13%15522CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000