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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Position cohort

Hitting value vs. OF peers

Rank #126 of 237

Each bar is one OF, ordered left-to-right by Value (blended). Center dot is VORP; whiskers span V⁻ → V⁺. This player is highlighted in blue.

-500+50+100+150Noelvi Marte
Noelvi Marte · #60
V⁻ -13VORP 2V⁺ 3
Noelvi Marte

Noelvi Marte

3B / OF·CIN
Compare
Compare
PA
150
H
26
HR
6
AVG
.184
xwOBA
.258
PPG
1.29
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
Proj36154.253.303.413.160.31722.2%6.3%15.9%54742.06—
202645150.184
2026 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

150 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
0
.258
xBA
1
.199
.233
.355
.171
.258
24.0%
6.0%
18.0%
6
4
58
1.29
—
202590361.262.301.447.185.30523.5%4.4%19.1%14101942.16—
202465243.209.248.300.091.27230.9%3.7%27.2%49570.88—
202332124.313.363.452.139.34120.2%6.5%13.7%35712.22—
xSLG
5
.325
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
22
87.3
Median EV
14
88.7
90th % EV
17
101.9
Barrel %
22
5.7
Hard-Hit %
4
27.6
Sweet-Spot %
0
21.0
Bat Speed
Avg
45
70.3
Median
36
70.9
90th %
37
75.7
Plate Discipline
Chase %
8
37.7
Whiff %
42
22.6
K %
28
24.0
BB %
9
6.0
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
65
≈ 1th pctl
Chase cost
-5.0r
48 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-1.4r
21 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
55.0%
160 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-4.00
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
31133333-56%9-33%93225+33%12-30%10-50%8+0%8+50%634+40%104+14%7451323CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 160