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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Nolan Gorman

Nolan Gorman

2B / 3B·STL
Compare
Compare
PA
464
H
96
HR
27
AVG
.236
xwOBA
.354
PPG
2.04
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202661223.198.282.325.127.28331.4%10.3%21.1%70621.02—
2025110403.205
2023 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

464 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
72
.354
xBA
9
.230
.298
.369
.164
.299
33.7%
11.7%
22.0%
14
1
135
1.23
—
2024110404.202.271.398.196.31037.4%8.4%29.0%1961301.18—
2023123464.236.329.478.242.35431.9%11.4%20.5%2782512.04—
202294314.225.299.419.194.34532.8%8.9%23.9%1411261.34—
xSLG
82
.496
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
72
91.0
Median EV
74
94.0
90th % EV
68
106.3
Barrel %
97
16.5
Hard-Hit %
78
48.5
Sweet-Spot %
91
39.6
Bat Speed
Avg
78
72.5
Median
76
73.7
90th %
67
77.9
Plate Discipline
Chase %
51
27.6
Whiff %
3
32.6
K %
1
31.9
BB %
81
11.4
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
99
≈ 47th pctl
Chase cost
-38.2r
351 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-11.2r
193 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
49.0%
1,929 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.56
lg avg -2.54
Count
View
5+10%10+11%9+9%11+0%11+0%6+0%6+44%9+32%41+0%34+11%55+26%38+17%18+0%8+56%25+21%47-24%76-22%79-20%46+21%28+15%13+54%24+22%40-14%43-16%44+0%40+37%19+14%7+40%20+33%21+46%28+75%125+29%74+0%8411CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000