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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Nolan Gorman

Nolan Gorman

2B / 3B·STL
Compare
Compare
PA
404
H
74
HR
19
AVG
.202
xwOBA
.310
PPG
1.18
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202662230.193.282.317.124.28132.2%10.9%21.3%70600.97—
2025110403.205
2024 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

404 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
15
.310
xBA
2
.208
.298
.369
.164
.299
33.7%
11.7%
22.0%
14
1
135
1.23
—
2024110404.202.271.398.196.31037.4%8.4%29.0%1961301.18—
2023123464.236.329.478.242.35431.9%11.4%20.5%2782512.04—
202294314.225.299.419.194.34532.8%8.9%23.9%1411261.34—
xSLG
54
.443
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
33
88.5
Median EV
22
90.7
90th % EV
61
105.6
Barrel %
98
16.7
Hard-Hit %
28
38.4
Sweet-Spot %
98
44.0
Bat Speed
Avg
65
71.1
Median
65
72.5
90th %
60
77.2
Plate Discipline
Chase %
31
30.3
Whiff %
0
36.5
K %
0
37.4
BB %
50
8.4
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
96
≈ 35th pctl
Chase cost
-30.6r
315 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-12.5r
201 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
50.6%
1,622 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.65
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
2+0%7+8%13+0%15+0%15+0%64+41%17+37%35+5%38+12%43+28%32+15%20+0%12+52%23+7%46-31%72-25%72-8%49+27%26+6%18+72%18+7%41-34%53-17%46-2%48+48%29+33%9+50%8+20%10-7%15+16%25+41%17+50%1431+33%63+38%82CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000