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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Nolan Gorman

Nolan Gorman

2B / 3B·STL
Compare
Compare
PA
403
H
72
HR
14
AVG
.205
xwOBA
.299
PPG
1.23
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202661223.198.282.325.127.28331.4%10.3%21.1%70621.02—
2025110403.205
2025 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

403 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
5
.299
xBA
0
.199
.298
.369
.164
.299
33.7%
11.7%
22.0%
14
1
135
1.23
—
2024110404.202.271.398.196.31037.4%8.4%29.0%1961301.18—
2023123464.236.329.478.242.35431.9%11.4%20.5%2782512.04—
202294314.225.299.419.194.34532.8%8.9%23.9%1411261.34—
xSLG
18
.391
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
31
89.0
Median EV
36
92.5
90th % EV
36
104.6
Barrel %
44
9.1
Hard-Hit %
30
41.1
Sweet-Spot %
96
41.6
Bat Speed
Avg
51
70.5
Median
52
72.1
90th %
48
76.9
Plate Discipline
Chase %
44
27.7
Whiff %
5
30.8
K %
0
33.7
BB %
80
11.7
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
95
≈ 30th pctl
Chase cost
-31.9r
287 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-13.3r
213 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
47.3%
1,662 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.72
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
34+17%6+10%10+0%7+0%93+55%11+35%23+15%46+5%37+7%54+22%18+0%9+38%16-4%45-30%60-34%71-26%62+22%32+6%18+50%24+14%37-20%49-20%51-12%42+36%25+0%8+33%9+50%22+52%23+50%24+43%14+41%1733533431CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000