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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Nolan Jones

Nolan Jones

OF·CLE
Compare
Compare
PA
424
H
109
HR
20
AVG
.297
xwOBA
.365
PPG
2.51
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
2025132407.209.295.301.092.30327.8%9.6%18.2%591190.90—
202481297.227
2023 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

424 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
80
.365
xBA
29
.244
.324
.320
.093
.294
30.6%
12.1%
18.5%
3
4
88
1.09
—
2023108424.297.390.542.245.36529.7%12.5%17.2%20202712.51—
20222894.244.309.372.128.33533.0%8.5%24.5%20321.14—
xSLG
82
.499
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
51
89.6
Median EV
59
92.9
90th % EV
83
107.6
Barrel %
93
15.7
Hard-Hit %
46
41.3
Sweet-Spot %
44
35.5
Bat Speed
Avg
53
70.6
Median
59
72.0
90th %
65
77.5
Plate Discipline
Chase %
63
26.1
Whiff %
11
29.4
K %
5
29.7
BB %
87
12.5
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
85
≈ 7th pctl
Chase cost
-30.8r
276 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-24.9r
337 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
41.6%
1,815 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-3.07
lg avg -2.54
Count
View
1+14%7+0%12+17%6-11%942+31%16+35%34+19%31+10%30+28%32-14%22+8%12+54%24+18%40-34%59-34%70-47%51-2%45+18%17+40%15+13%52-34%38-30%54-33%63+9%35+7%14+25%8+55%11+20%20+4%28-5%19-14%7+0%654152CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000