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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Nolan Jones

Nolan Jones

OF·CLE
Compare
Compare
PA
297
H
58
HR
3
AVG
.227
xwOBA
.294
PPG
1.09
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
2025132407.209.295.301.092.30327.8%9.6%18.2%591190.90—
202481297.227
2024 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

297 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
6
.294
xBA
2
.211
.324
.320
.093
.294
30.6%
12.1%
18.5%
3
4
88
1.09
—
2023108424.297.390.542.245.36529.7%12.5%17.2%20202712.51—
20222894.244.309.372.128.33533.0%8.5%24.5%20321.14—
xSLG
2
.339
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
22
87.9
Median EV
42
91.9
90th % EV
65
106.0
Barrel %
19
5.9
Hard-Hit %
63
44.4
Sweet-Spot %
38
34.9
Bat Speed
Avg
30
69.0
Median
25
70.1
90th %
47
76.4
Plate Discipline
Chase %
85
23.1
Whiff %
40
23.5
K %
2
30.6
BB %
94
12.1
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
91
≈ 19th pctl
Chase cost
-20.5r
186 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-17.3r
269 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
39.8%
1,345 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.81
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
+29%75+0%8+0%15+0%17+0%75+70%10+13%23-12%32+0%45-2%43+14%21+0%8+60%15+20%49-38%65-46%74-43%49+28%32+20%15+46%13+17%42-42%48-30%47-32%59-3%29+8%122+20%10+0%20+28%25+14%22+24%1743+29%751512CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000