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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Nolan Jones

Nolan Jones

OF·CLE
Compare
Compare
PA
407
H
75
HR
5
AVG
.209
xwOBA
.303
PPG
0.90
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
2025132407.209.295.301.092.30327.8%9.6%18.2%591190.90—
202481297.227
2025 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

407 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
10
.303
xBA
3
.221
.324
.320
.093
.294
30.6%
12.1%
18.5%
3
4
88
1.09
—
2023108424.297.390.542.245.36529.7%12.5%17.2%20202712.51—
20222894.244.309.372.128.33533.0%8.5%24.5%20321.14—
xSLG
10
.369
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
44
90.0
Median EV
62
93.7
90th % EV
40
105.1
Barrel %
38
8.5
Hard-Hit %
64
46.7
Sweet-Spot %
53
36.2
Bat Speed
Avg
55
70.8
Median
52
72.1
90th %
64
77.9
Plate Discipline
Chase %
51
26.7
Whiff %
31
24.6
K %
7
27.8
BB %
64
9.6
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
91
≈ 18th pctl
Chase cost
-28.5r
265 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-20.6r
285 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
46.4%
1,720 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.85
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
1+22%95+7%15+0%115+0%9+33%12+32%22+22%23+5%42+18%39+14%22+0%12+81%16+22%37-34%67-41%75-36%66+16%38+20%20+50%20+13%39-28%54-27%56-14%44+31%29+22%9+9%11+47%15+13%24-11%19+58%12+29%73532533CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000