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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Oneil Cruz

Oneil Cruz

OF·PIT
Compare
Compare
PA
545
H
94
HR
20
AVG
.199
xwOBA
.328
PPG
1.72
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202663283.264.350.472.208.36134.6%10.6%24.0%14211632.59—
2025136545.199
2025 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

Expected Results
xwOBA
39
.328
xBA
1
.214
xSLG
.300
.377
.178
.328
31.9%
11.7%
20.2%
20
38
234
1.72
—
2024150599.259.326.449.190.34830.2%8.5%21.7%21222791.86—
20231440.250.385.375.125.31820.0%17.5%2.5%13302.14—
202291361.233.294.450.217.30534.9%7.8%27.1%17101701.87—
202169.333.333.667.334.36544.4%0.0%44.4%10122.00—
41
.424
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
99
95.8
Median EV
97
98.0
90th % EV
99
113.8
Barrel %
95
17.9
Hard-Hit %
97
56.6
Sweet-Spot %
7
31.8
Bat Speed
Avg
99
76.1
Median
99
78.6
90th %
99
84.3
Plate Discipline
Chase %
42
28.2
Whiff %
1
32.2
K %
1
31.9
BB %
80
11.7
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
64
≈ 1th pctl
Chase cost
-47.5r
413 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-39.5r
409 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
41.4%
2,265 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-3.84
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
+33%6+10%10+15%13+13%15+0%1643+6%17+38%37+20%46+18%57+27%37-6%16+50%8+28%29+15%41-43%72-22%55-34%44+27%22+57%14+30%44-2%45-47%47-37%56-37%27+11%195+23%13+43%14-10%10+0%9+22%9451513312CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000