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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Position cohort

Hitting value vs. OF peers

Rank #28 of 234

Each bar is one OF, ordered left-to-right by Value (blended). Center dot is VORP; whiskers span V⁻ → V⁺. This player is highlighted in blue.

-500+50+100+150+200Oneil Cruz
Oneil Cruz · #28
V⁻ -21VORP 26V⁺ 42
Oneil Cruz

Oneil Cruz

OF·PIT
Compare
Compare
PA
283
H
66
HR
14
AVG
.264
xwOBA
.361
PPG
2.59
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
Proj89383.243.324.456.212.34430.8%10.2%20.6%17211992.24—
202663283.264
2026 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

Expected Results
xwOBA
68
.361
xBA
43
.252
xSLG
.350
.472
.208
.361
34.6%
10.6%
24.0%
14
21
163
2.59
—
2025136545.199.300.377.178.32831.9%11.7%20.2%20382341.72—
2024150599.259.326.449.190.34830.2%8.5%21.7%21222791.86—
20231440.250.385.375.125.31820.0%17.5%2.5%13302.14—
202291361.233.294.450.217.30534.9%7.8%27.1%17101701.87—
202169.333.333.667.334.36544.4%0.0%44.4%10122.00—
78
.486
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
99
96.0
Median EV
98
100.5
90th % EV
99
114.0
Barrel %
92
16.4
Hard-Hit %
99
59.2
Sweet-Spot %
45
35.5
Bat Speed
Avg
98
76.6
Median
98
78.3
90th %
99
84.3
Plate Discipline
Chase %
30
32.4
Whiff %
1
35.6
K %
0
34.6
BB %
66
10.6
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
87
≈ 10th pctl
Chase cost
-8.4r
74 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-3.6r
61 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
44.4%
390 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-3.07
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
23223+22%9+38%13+18%11+10%10+25%12+44%92+36%14+5%22-24%29-37%19-48%27+67%9+50%64-6%18-22%23-50%16-11%18+0%112+50%65+30%10+0%6521222CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 390