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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Otto Lopez

Otto Lopez

2B / SS·MIA
Compare
Compare
PA
435
H
109
HR
6
AVG
.270
xwOBA
.318
PPG
1.79
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202669294.337.369.478.141.34015.3%3.4%11.9%5131872.71—
2025146594.246
2024 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

435 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
24
.318
xBA
75
.265
.306
.368
.122
.332
13.8%
7.4%
6.4%
15
15
331
2.27
—
2024116435.270.314.376.106.31817.2%5.7%11.5%6192081.79—
2022810.667.700.667.000.31010.0%10.0%0.0%03121.50—
202131.000.000.000.000.000100.0%0.0%100.0%0062.00—
xSLG
22
.394
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
18
87.7
Median EV
28
91.0
90th % EV
41
104.3
Barrel %
13
5.1
Hard-Hit %
30
38.9
Sweet-Spot %
12
31.9
Bat Speed
Avg
25
68.7
Median
28
70.5
90th %
33
75.4
Plate Discipline
Chase %
23
32.0
Whiff %
67
19.9
K %
71
17.2
BB %
10
5.7
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
105
≈ 68th pctl
Chase cost
-28.4r
294 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-8.3r
196 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
51.3%
1,543 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.38
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
+0%645441+17%6+47%15-4%23+3%30+10%10+57%7+10%10+47%19-3%37-24%46-21%53-22%55+65%20+36%11+37%19+9%54-35%81-28%69-27%41+79%19+40%15+24%38+43%44+7%46+14%35+5%20+46%132+6%17+19%16+20%10+14%73+0%62CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000