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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Position cohort

Hitting value vs. OF peers

Rank #154 of 234

Each bar is one OF, ordered left-to-right by Value (blended). Center dot is VORP; whiskers span V⁻ → V⁺. This player is highlighted in blue.

-500+50+100+150+200Owen Caissie
Owen Caissie · #60
V⁻ -54VORP -28V⁺ -61
Owen Caissie

Owen Caissie

OF·MIA
Compare
Compare
PA
174
H
34
HR
5
AVG
.221
xwOBA
.283
PPG
0.89
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
Proj64276.234.307.397.163.31432.8%9.0%23.7%931001.56—
202657174.221
2026 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

174 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
5
.283
xBA
2
.197
.294
.377
.156
.283
42.0%
8.0%
34.0%
5
3
51
0.89
—
20251227.192.222.346.154.23240.7%3.7%37.0%1070.58—
xSLG
16
.364
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
72
90.6
Median EV
75
94.8
90th % EV
93
109.3
Barrel %
76
12.9
Hard-Hit %
70
45.9
Sweet-Spot %
100
49.4
Bat Speed
Avg
73
72.5
Median
91
75.7
90th %
80
79.1
Plate Discipline
Chase %
53
28.5
Whiff %
7
32.6
K %
0
42.0
BB %
33
8.0
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
84
≈ 6th pctl
Chase cost
-5.3r
44 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-4.0r
50 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
40.2%
291 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-3.19
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
1533434+22%9+22%9+0%9+11%924+21%14+0%9-55%20-56%27-23%13+33%6+0%6+63%8+0%15-18%17-25%20-50%843+67%9+44%91531111CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 291