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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Position cohort

Hitting value vs. 2B peers

Rank #4 of 45

Each bar is one 2B, ordered left-to-right by Value (blended). Center dot is VORP; whiskers span V⁻ → V⁺. This player is highlighted in blue.

-200-1000+100Ozzie Albies
Ozzie Albies · #4
V⁻ -15VORP 30V⁺ 45
Ozzie Albies

Ozzie Albies

2B·ATL
Compare
Compare
PA
283
H
69
HR
10
AVG
.275
xwOBA
.307
PPG
2.75
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
Proj95409.255.315.411.157.32314.3%7.6%6.8%1262312.43—
202667283.275
2026 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

Expected Results
xwOBA
23
.307
xBA
35
.247
xSLG
.341
.442
.167
.307
12.4%
7.4%
5.0%
10
1
184
2.75
—
2025162668.240.308.364.124.30214.1%8.2%5.9%16143652.25—
2024107435.251.306.404.153.30814.9%6.2%8.7%1092512.35—
2023160661.280.339.513.233.34416.2%7.0%9.2%33144973.11—
202275269.247.298.409.162.29917.5%5.9%11.6%841632.17—
2021180686.259.314.488.229.33018.7%6.9%11.8%30255052.81—
202043124.271.306.466.195.29424.2%4.0%20.2%651042.42—
2019171705.294.352.498.204.35015.9%7.7%8.2%24154922.88—
2018168685.261.305.452.191.30116.9%5.3%11.6%24144192.49—
201759246.283.354.452.169.34014.6%8.5%6.1%681582.68—
25
.381
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
19
87.0
Median EV
10
88.3
90th % EV
11
101.0
Barrel %
14
4.5
Hard-Hit %
6
28.7
Sweet-Spot %
42
35.0
Bat Speed
Avg
11
67.0
Median
22
69.5
90th %
19
74.1
Plate Discipline
Chase %
13
35.6
Whiff %
64
19.2
K %
89
12.4
BB %
25
7.4
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
93
≈ 24th pctl
Chase cost
-9.2r
94 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-0.8r
20 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
54.5%
356 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.82
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
13+10%105+0%7+83%6+88%8+47%19+15%13+14%7+11%92+93%14+40%25-7%30-14%14-40%10434+43%14+0%22-11%19+29%7+29%74+57%7+50%10+57%7-12%8+0%752242CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 356