Parker Messick
SP · CLE
MLBAM 800048
Seasons
| Yr | BF | K% | BB% | xwOBA | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 93 | 26.9% | 7.5% | 0.264 | 103 | 20.60 |
| 2025 | 165 | 23.0% | 3.6% | 0.274 | 91 | 13.00 |
2026 MLB Percentile Rankings
Arsenal
FB Velocity
34
92.6
FB Spin
11
2122
Extension
38
6.40
Results
xwOBA
86
0.264
Barrel %
87
3.3
Hard-Hit %
93
29.5
K %
79
26.9
BB %
63
7.5
Chase %
95
37.6
Whiff %
34
21.0
Command & Stuff
Pitching+
Expected run-value conceded per pitch against a rational hitter, standardized against the season. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.
Pitching+
99
≈ 46th pctl
Stuff+
97
if they swing
Command+
104
out-of-zone take RV
Strike quality+
89
RV of in-zone pitches
Crushable pitches
10.3%
54 meatballs
Putaway counts (0-2, 1-2)
0.044
RV per pitch · league 0.042
+0.001 worse than avg · 155 pitches
Lower RV = more wasted whiff chances when they choose not to put hitters away.
Hitter's counts (3-0, 3-1, 2-0)
0.025
RV per pitch · league 0.029
-0.005 better than avg · 31 pitches
How often they groove get-me-overs vs. nibble safely.
Based on 524 pitches. RV = Statcast delta_run_exp; lower = better for the pitcher.
2026 Movement Profile (Induced Break)
MLB Avg.
| FF | CH | SL | CU | SI | FC | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Usage | 35% | 23% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 7% |
| MPH | 93.2 | 85.0 | 86.9 | 79.0 | 92.3 | 90.3 |
| LHP Avg | 93.2 | 84.6 | 84.7 | 79.0 | 93.0 | 88.1 |
2026 Tunneling
Where pitches are when the hitter commits — and where they end up. Tighter cluster on the left = more deceptive arsenal.
At Decision
23 ft out · ~280ms before arrival
At the Plate
Where they actually cross
FFCHSLCUSIFC
Decision point computed from Statcast kinematics (vx0/vy0/vz0, ax/ay/az) by projecting each pitch back to y = 23 ft. Coordinates in catcher’s view: 1B on the left, 3B on the right. LHP.
2026 Divergence from a Shared Origin
Every pitch type launched from the same decision-point — how far apart they end up by the plate. Bigger fan = harder arsenal to square up.
Distances from origin (in inches) show how far each pitch type separates itself from the common launch point by plate arrival. LHP.