Flanker the ClankerFlanker
Rankings
Leaderboards
  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
StreamersSign inConnect league →
Position cohort

Pitching value vs. SP peers

Rank #136 of 165

Each bar is one SP, ordered left-to-right by Value (blended). Center dot is VORP; whiskers span V⁻ → V⁺. This player is highlighted in blue.

0+50+100+150Patrick Corbin
Patrick Corbin · #60
V⁻ —VORP -45V⁺ —
Patrick Corbin

Patrick Corbin

SP·TOR
Compare
Compare
BF
254
K %
15.7%
BB %
7.9%
xwOBA
.364
PTS
66
PPG
5.50
Career Seasons
YrGGSIPWLSVHLDERAFIPK%BB%K-BB%xwOBABABIPLOB%GB%PtsPPG
Proj181373.035004.754.4118.3%7.5%10.8%————884.91
2026 MLB Percentiles

Pitching Profile

Arsenal
FB Velo
4
89.6
FB Spin
11
2133
Extension
2026
12
12
57.3
2
3
0
0
4.55
4.60
15.7%
7.9%
7.8%
.364
.311
75.4%
41.2%
66
5.50
20253130155.3711004.404.2119.7%7.7%12.0%.337.30673.3%41.0%2187.03
20243333178.7614005.644.3318.1%7.0%11.1%.361.33965.7%47.2%1424.30
20233434190.01116005.124.9715.7%7.2%8.5%.373.31069.8%45.3%1815.32
20223333161.7620005.964.7217.9%6.9%11.0%.383.35964.3%45.4%772.33
20213231175.71016005.695.2919.0%8.0%11.0%.360.29969.7%48.3%1655.16
2020121270.737004.583.8920.3%6.1%14.2%.347.36375.8%46.1%756.25
20194237231.31610023.543.3228.5%8.4%20.1%.305.30375.0%50.8%54913.07
20183434205.0118003.162.5030.7%6.0%24.7%.287.30274.9%49.3%52115.32
20173332189.71413004.034.0221.5%7.4%14.1%.324.32674.3%52.2%3139.48
70
6.66
Results
xwOBA
8
.364
Barrel %
53
8.0
Hard-Hit %
21
43.9
K %
10
15.7
BB %
52
7.9
Chase %
46
30.3
Whiff %
11
17.8
Command & Stuff

Pitching+

Expected run-value conceded per pitch against a rational hitter, standardized against the season. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Pitching+
111
≈ 87th pctl
Stuff+
94
if they swing
Command+
116
out-of-zone take RV
Strike quality+
94
RV of in-zone pitches
Crushable pitches
12.8%
21 meatballs
Putaway counts (0-2, 1-2)
0.030
RV per pitch · league 0.042
-0.012 better than avg · 42 pitches
Lower RV = more wasted whiff chances when they choose not to put hitters away.
Hitter's counts (3-0, 3-1, 2-0)
0.001
RV per pitch · league 0.029
-0.028 better than avg · 11 pitches
How often they groove get-me-overs vs. nibble safely.
Based on 164 pitches. RV = Statcast delta_run_exp; lower = better for the pitcher.
Pitch Arsenal
PitchUsageVeloSpinIVBHBExtWhiff%Zone%CSW%Chase%PutAway%xwOBA
CutterFC
28.0%85.72259+5.3-2.86.640.0%58.7%17.4%15.8%0.0%0.762
SinkerSI
25.6%91.12073

2026 Movement Profile (Induced Break)

MLB Avg.
6"12"18"24"24"24"24"1B ◀ MOVES TOWARD ▶ 3B▲MORERISE▼MOREDROPARMANGLE38°100 PITCHSAMPLE
FCSISLCHFFCU
Usage28%26%26%10%9%1%
MPH85.791.179.079.791.065.6
LHP Avg88.193.084.784.693.279.0
+11.4
+14.3
6.69
0.0%
54.8%
23.8%
10.5%
0.0%
0.301
SliderSL
25.6%79.02213-0.6-3.06.7361.9%28.6%38.1%40.0%40.0%0.112
ChangeupCH
10.4%79.71480+8.9+12.26.6557.1%41.2%35.3%30.0%0.0%0.290
4-Seam FastballFF
9.1%91.02061+13.9+8.96.660.0%53.3%13.3%14.3%20.0%0.702
CurveballCU
1.2%65.61838-2.0-3.76.400.0%50.0%50.0%100.0%——

2026 Swing-Out Snapshot

Commit at the decision point, then fast-forward 150ms. Where is each pitch when your bat crosses the zone? Two views of the same moment — catcher-facing and from the side.

Catcher View
horizontal × vertical
0.5′1′1.5′2′2.5′3′DECISIONPOINTFF · 20″CU · 21″FC · 24″SI · 22″CH · 23″SL · 27″arm side ◀ ▶ glove sidedrops ◀ ▶ rises
Side View
depth × vertical
1′2′3′4′5′6′-3′0′5′10′15′20′23′FF · 35″CU · 93″FC · 46″SI · 35″CH · 67″SL · 65″DECISION POINTPLATEfeet to plate
swing time150 ms

Each pitch is launched from a shared decision point (4.42′ height) and advanced using its own Statcast kinematics (release velocity + constant acceleration, so gravity, drag, and Magnus are all in the curve). LHP.

2026 Tunneling

Where pitches are when the hitter commits — and where they end up. Tighter cluster on the left = more deceptive arsenal.

At Decision
23 ft out · ~280ms before arrival
FCSISLCHFFCU-2′-1′0′1′2′1′2′3′4′1B ◀ catcher view ▶ 3B
At the Plate
Where they actually cross
FCSISLCHFFCU-2′-1′0′1′2′1′2′3′4′1B ◀ catcher view ▶ 3B
FCSISLCHFFCU

Decision point computed from Statcast kinematics (vx0/vy0/vz0, ax/ay/az) by projecting each pitch back to y = 23 ft. Coordinates in catcher’s view: 1B on the left, 3B on the right. LHP.