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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Position cohort

Hitting value vs. 3B peers

Each bar is one 3B, ordered left-to-right by Value (blended). Center dot is VORP; whiskers span V⁻ → V⁺.

-500+50+100+150
Paul DeJong

Paul DeJong

3B·FA
Compare
Compare
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
Proj210.217.287.302.085.27029.8%8.5%21.2%0031.42—
202558209.227.272.371.144.26033.5%5.3%28.2%64581.00—
2024140482.227.279.427
2026 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

No MLB Statcast hitting rows for 2026.

.200
.293
32.4%
4.8%
27.6%
24
2
182
1.30
—
2023110400.207.259.355.148.27730.3%5.3%25.0%1441201.09—
202280238.156.246.284.128.27333.2%8.8%24.4%63891.11—
2021120402.197.285.390.193.31125.6%8.7%16.9%1951781.48—
202049174.250.329.349.099.31528.7%9.8%18.9%31811.65—
2019174664.233.321.444.211.33222.4%9.3%13.1%30103812.19—
2018120490.241.316.433.192.32825.1%7.3%17.8%1912622.18—
2017116443.285.326.532.247.33628.0%4.7%23.3%2512492.15—
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
125
≈ 99th pctl
Chase cost
-0.3r
4 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-0.4r
8 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
45.8%
48 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-1.46
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
1114121124523312423CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 48