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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Paul Goldschmidt

Paul Goldschmidt

1B·NYY
Compare
Compare
PA
688
H
159
HR
25
AVG
.268
xwOBA
.370
PPG
2.36
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202641151.274.351.526.252.37019.2%8.6%10.6%811112.71—
2025147534.274
2023 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

Expected Results
xwOBA
84
.370
xBA
64
.263
xSLG
.329
.403
.129
.336
18.7%
6.7%
12.0%
10
5
271
1.84
—
2024159656.245.302.413.168.33726.4%7.2%19.2%22112671.68—
2023157688.268.364.446.178.37023.4%12.6%10.8%25113712.36—
2022163651.317.406.578.261.37521.7%12.1%9.6%3585393.31—
2021166679.294.368.514.220.40020.0%9.9%10.1%31124722.84—
202062233.301.416.461.160.39718.5%15.9%2.6%611532.47—
2019175683.259.347.475.216.36224.3%11.4%12.9%3434292.45—
2018165691.290.388.532.242.39225.0%13.0%12.0%3374322.62—
2017165664.297.406.563.266.40722.1%14.2%7.9%36185393.27—
78
.490
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
77
91.3
Median EV
91
95.4
90th % EV
64
106.2
Barrel %
78
12.0
Hard-Hit %
91
50.8
Sweet-Spot %
58
37.0
Bat Speed
Avg
61
71.0
Median
49
71.6
90th %
37
75.9
Plate Discipline
Chase %
59
26.6
Whiff %
33
24.5
K %
26
23.4
BB %
87
12.6
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
95
≈ 32th pctl
Chase cost
-52.5r
444 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-25.0r
476 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
44.1%
2,864 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.71
lg avg -2.54
Count
View
235+44%9+27%1132+29%14+31%16+22%27+33%24+32%19+21%14+30%10+39%23-16%32-25%73-20%59-31%39+50%26+30%10+32%28-2%47-40%72-27%56-38%53+33%18+14%7+26%19+8%39-2%46-3%30+17%18+44%92+0%11+8%13+10%10+29%7+14%722CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000