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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Paul Goldschmidt

Paul Goldschmidt

1B·NYY
Compare
Compare
PA
656
H
147
HR
22
AVG
.245
xwOBA
.337
PPG
1.68
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202643166.286.364.517.231.37018.7%9.0%9.7%811162.70—
2025147534.274
2024 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

Expected Results
xwOBA
55
.337
xBA
54
.252
xSLG
.329
.403
.129
.336
18.7%
6.7%
12.0%
10
5
271
1.84
—
2024159656.245.302.413.168.33726.4%7.2%19.2%22112671.68—
2023157688.268.364.446.178.37023.4%12.6%10.8%25113712.36—
2022163651.317.406.578.261.37521.7%12.1%9.6%3585393.31—
2021166679.294.368.514.220.40020.0%9.9%10.1%31124722.84—
202062233.301.416.461.160.39718.5%15.9%2.6%611532.47—
2019175683.259.347.475.216.36224.3%11.4%12.9%3434292.45—
2018165691.290.388.532.242.39225.0%13.0%12.0%3374322.62—
2017165664.297.406.563.266.40722.1%14.2%7.9%36185393.27—
64
.461
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
76
91.2
Median EV
86
94.9
90th % EV
60
105.5
Barrel %
63
10.7
Hard-Hit %
86
49.5
Sweet-Spot %
51
35.7
Bat Speed
Avg
65
71.2
Median
61
72.1
90th %
48
76.5
Plate Discipline
Chase %
38
29.5
Whiff %
32
25.2
K %
15
26.4
BB %
31
7.2
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
96
≈ 36th pctl
Chase cost
-46.9r
477 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-25.6r
425 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
47.7%
2,744 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.64
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
15+43%7+44%93+0%614+30%10+38%21+52%29+63%16+60%10+17%6+65%17-3%39-20%51-16%55-16%32+21%19+30%10+30%27+18%50-37%78-39%76-21%47+52%21+50%8+13%23+29%52+24%49-7%41+24%2952+43%7+7%14+7%15+13%8+25%831CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000