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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Pedro Pagés

Pedro Pagés

C·STL
Compare
Compare
PA
389
H
83
HR
11
AVG
.230
xwOBA
.262
PPG
1.19
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202651167.204.248.322.118.26625.7%4.2%21.5%42410.80—
2025110389.230
2025 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

389 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
0
.262
xBA
1
.214
.274
.363
.133
.262
27.5%
4.9%
22.6%
11
1
131
1.19
—
202470219.236.282.374.138.28426.5%5.9%20.6%72801.14—
xSLG
4
.348
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
14
87.3
Median EV
13
90.0
90th % EV
23
103.7
Barrel %
27
7.3
Hard-Hit %
17
36.5
Sweet-Spot %
23
34.2
Bat Speed
Avg
53
70.7
Median
52
72.1
90th %
48
76.9
Plate Discipline
Chase %
11
35.7
Whiff %
31
24.8
K %
8
27.5
BB %
7
4.9
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
91
≈ 18th pctl
Chase cost
-31.6r
295 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-11.4r
231 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
51.6%
1,505 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.86
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
31+33%65211+38%8+42%12+10%20+24%17+0%8+43%74+42%19-26%27-33%46-25%68-12%34+62%21+56%9+48%23+8%63-28%82-31%75-25%53+47%17+27%11+48%31+42%38+6%49+21%33+38%29+18%173+14%14+21%19+8%13+14%7+0%8+50%6CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000