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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Pete Crow-Armstrong

Pete Crow-Armstrong

OF·CHC
Compare
Compare
PA
641
H
146
HR
31
AVG
.250
xwOBA
.323
PPG
2.32
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202667277.258.342.443.185.36125.3%8.3%17.0%11141502.24—
2025168641.250
2025 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

Expected Results
xwOBA
34
.323
xBA
20
.237
xSLG
.295
.485
.235
.323
23.7%
4.5%
19.2%
31
36
390
2.32
—
2024115411.236.288.383.147.28823.8%5.1%18.7%10231881.63—
20231119.000.176.000.000.25036.8%15.8%21.0%0120.18—
72
.472
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
20
88.0
Median EV
24
91.7
90th % EV
42
105.2
Barrel %
77
13.1
Hard-Hit %
31
41.6
Sweet-Spot %
38
35.3
Bat Speed
Avg
53
70.7
Median
56
72.4
90th %
52
77.1
Plate Discipline
Chase %
3
41.2
Whiff %
23
26.7
K %
30
23.7
BB %
4
4.5
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
88
≈ 12th pctl
Chase cost
-58.6r
605 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-8.9r
172 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
59.7%
2,284 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.95
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
+0%6+33%6+25%12+0%12+0%1043+50%16+70%33+36%47+30%33+29%31+18%17+0%10+91%22+16%51-19%75-25%72-2%45+32%28+0%10+76%21+23%44-9%46-14%57-7%41+46%26+21%14+73%11+75%12+43%14+25%16+38%16+25%8+29%745521CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000