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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Position cohort

Hitting value vs. OF peers

Rank #18 of 234

Each bar is one OF, ordered left-to-right by Value (blended). Center dot is VORP; whiskers span V⁻ → V⁺. This player is highlighted in blue.

-500+50+100+150+200Pete Crow-Armstrong
Pete Crow-Armstrong · #18
V⁻ 6VORP 37V⁺ 88
Pete Crow-Armstrong

Pete Crow-Armstrong

OF·CHC
Compare
Compare
PA
277
H
63
HR
11
AVG
.258
xwOBA
.361
PPG
2.24
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
Proj97418.249.305.442.192.33024.3%6.4%17.8%16222262.33—
202667277.258
2026 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

Expected Results
xwOBA
68
.361
xBA
49
.256
xSLG
.342
.443
.185
.361
25.3%
8.3%
17.0%
11
14
150
2.24
—
2025168641.250.295.485.235.32323.7%4.5%19.2%31363902.32—
2024115411.236.288.383.147.28823.8%5.1%18.7%10231881.63—
20231119.000.176.000.000.25036.8%15.8%21.0%0120.18—
75
.483
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
60
90.2
Median EV
52
92.7
90th % EV
62
106.3
Barrel %
70
11.9
Hard-Hit %
87
50.6
Sweet-Spot %
38
34.7
Bat Speed
Avg
68
72.1
Median
60
72.9
90th %
72
78.3
Plate Discipline
Chase %
7
38.5
Whiff %
30
25.2
K %
22
25.3
BB %
34
8.3
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
80
≈ 2th pctl
Chase cost
-8.8r
84 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-1.9r
36 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
58.6%
319 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-3.36
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
4152+0%7+58%12+60%10+0%9+13%841+67%9+15%20-29%17-31%16-27%222+67%9+35%17-27%26-6%16-8%13+60%1022+50%6+33%6+67%62+71%7111221CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 319