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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Position cohort

Pitching value vs. RP peers

Rank #9 of 505

Each bar is one RP, ordered left-to-right by Value (blended). Center dot is VORP; whiskers span V⁻ → V⁺. This player is highlighted in blue.

0+50+100Raisel Iglesias
Raisel Iglesias · #9
V⁻ —VORP 58V⁺ —
Raisel Iglesias

Raisel Iglesias

RP·ATL
Compare
Compare
BF
85
K %
30.6%
BB %
4.7%
xwOBA
.231
PTS
126
PPG
6.00
Career Seasons
YrGGSIPWLSVHLDERAFIPK%BB%K-BB%xwOBABABIPLOB%GB%PtsPPG
Proj42042.0321923.503.3226.2%6.9%19.4%————1954.64
2026 MLB Percentiles

Pitching Profile

85 BF — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Arsenal
FB Velo
69
94.6
FB Spin
63
2312
2026
21
0
22.3
0
1
13
0
1.21
1.89
30.6%
4.7%
25.9%
.231
.296
86.7%
34.5%
126
6.00
202572069.3562923.123.1927.3%6.4%20.9%.280.25376.1%32.0%3134.35
202469172.3623402.362.7726.3%5.0%21.3%.244.21071.1%45.1%3885.62
202361058.0543402.643.0329.4%6.5%22.9%.279.30376.5%43.2%3195.23
202274068.33617182.632.5031.7%5.7%26.0%.282.29677.4%35.8%2893.91
202170073.7863402.572.8337.7%4.4%33.3%.244.29283.0%40.8%3985.69
202025025.743923.863.1434.1%5.5%28.6%.247.28353.6%40.7%1214.84
201971070.03123434.373.9031.9%7.5%24.4%.291.32977.7%31.1%2743.86
201867073.7253002.324.0627.5%8.6%18.9%.315.23091.6%39.7%3244.84
201764077.0332802.452.6230.1%8.8%21.3%.264.28480.8%43.0%3385.28
Extension
20
6.14
Results
xwOBA
99
.231
Barrel %
90
5.5
Hard-Hit %
99
29.1
K %
98
30.6
BB %
97
4.7
Chase %
100
40.1
Whiff %
93
28.5
Command & Stuff

Pitching+

Expected run-value conceded per pitch against a rational hitter, standardized against the season. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Pitching+
128
≈ 99th pctl
Stuff+
76
if they swing
Command+
151
out-of-zone take RV
Strike quality+
84
RV of in-zone pitches
Crushable pitches
14.2%
18 meatballs
Putaway counts (0-2, 1-2)
0.018
RV per pitch · league 0.042
-0.024 better than avg · 40 pitches
Lower RV = more wasted whiff chances when they choose not to put hitters away.
Hitter's counts (3-0, 3-1, 2-0)
-0.036
RV per pitch · league 0.029
-0.065 better than avg · 3 pitches
How often they groove get-me-overs vs. nibble safely.
Based on 127 pitches. RV = Statcast delta_run_exp; lower = better for the pitcher.
Pitch Arsenal
PitchUsageVeloSpinIVBHBExtWhiff%Zone%CSW%Chase%PutAway%xwOBA
4-Seam FastballFF
55.6%94.32280+14.9+7.96.1030.3%58.2%34.5%43.5%25.0%0.022
ChangeupCH
30.3%88.4

2026 Movement Profile (Induced Break)

MLB Avg.
6"12"18"24"24"24"24"1B ◀ MOVES TOWARD ▶ 3B▲MORERISE▼MOREDROPARMANGLE31°100 PITCHSAMPLE
FFCHSISL
Usage56%30%13%1%
MPH94.388.494.182.8
RHP Avg95.086.994.386.7
1924
+5.3
+14.9
6.04
37.5%
53.3%
30.0%
57.1%
38.5%
0.198
SinkerSI
13.1%94.12293+8.0+16.36.0850.0%53.8%53.8%50.0%—0.313
SliderSL
1.0%82.82545-1.4-17.35.80—100.0%100.0%———

2026 Swing-Out Snapshot

Commit at the decision point, then fast-forward 150ms. Where is each pitch when your bat crosses the zone? Two views of the same moment — catcher-facing and from the side.

Catcher View
horizontal × vertical
0.5′1′1.5′2′2.5′3′DECISIONPOINTFF · 17″SI · 20″SL · 23″CH · 21″arm side ◀ ▶ glove sidedrops ◀ ▶ rises
Side View
depth × vertical
1′2′3′4′5′6′-3′0′5′10′15′20′23′FF · 26″SI · 26″SL · 54″CH · 40″DECISION POINTPLATEfeet to plate
swing time150 ms

Each pitch is launched from a shared decision point (4.04′ height) and advanced using its own Statcast kinematics (release velocity + constant acceleration, so gravity, drag, and Magnus are all in the curve). RHP.

2026 Tunneling

Where pitches are when the hitter commits — and where they end up. Tighter cluster on the left = more deceptive arsenal.

At Decision
23 ft out · ~280ms before arrival
FFCHSISL-2′-1′0′1′2′1′2′3′4′1B ◀ catcher view ▶ 3B
At the Plate
Where they actually cross
FFCHSISL-2′-1′0′1′2′1′2′3′4′1B ◀ catcher view ▶ 3B
FFCHSISL

Decision point computed from Statcast kinematics (vx0/vy0/vz0, ax/ay/az) by projecting each pitch back to y = 23 ft. Coordinates in catcher’s view: 1B on the left, 3B on the right. RHP.