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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Randy Arozarena

Randy Arozarena

OF·SEA
Compare
Compare
PA
655
H
140
HR
23
AVG
.254
xwOBA
.347
PPG
2.44
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202668287.291.384.445.154.35122.0%9.4%12.6%6181862.74—
2025176712.237
2023 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

Expected Results
xwOBA
63
.347
xBA
14
.233
xSLG
.335
.424
.187
.328
26.8%
9.0%
17.8%
27
37
398
2.26
—
2024158650.218.333.387.169.32426.0%11.2%14.8%20202961.87—
2023156655.254.366.424.170.34723.8%12.2%11.6%23223812.44—
2022164646.262.328.445.183.30124.1%7.1%17.0%20323702.26—
2021151604.274.359.459.185.30228.1%9.3%18.8%20223462.29—
20204276.281.387.641.360.36328.9%7.9%21.0%731463.48—
20191723.300.391.500.200.30817.4%8.7%8.7%13160.94—
42
.432
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
80
91.5
Median EV
79
94.5
90th % EV
70
106.6
Barrel %
78
12.3
Hard-Hit %
78
48.3
Sweet-Spot %
14
32.5
Bat Speed
Avg
55
70.7
Median
59
72.2
90th %
69
78.1
Plate Discipline
Chase %
51
27.5
Whiff %
19
27.5
K %
25
23.8
BB %
85
12.2
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
92
≈ 21th pctl
Chase cost
-56.2r
491 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-20.9r
393 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
43.0%
2,724 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.83
lg avg -2.54
Count
View
133+14%7+0%611+35%17+30%20-12%26-4%25-4%26+8%131+53%15+3%37-31%45-28%47-19%31+22%23+0%7+41%29+0%57-26%65-19%58-40%35+40%20+0%7+40%25+47%38+43%54+20%45+27%15+29%75+27%15+37%19+31%13+0%12+14%73CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000