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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Randy Arozarena

Randy Arozarena

OF·SEA
Compare
Compare
PA
650
H
120
HR
20
AVG
.218
xwOBA
.324
PPG
1.87
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202668287.291.384.445.154.35122.0%9.4%12.6%6181862.74—
2025176712.237
2024 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

Expected Results
xwOBA
31
.324
xBA
2
.212
xSLG
.335
.424
.187
.328
26.8%
9.0%
17.8%
27
37
398
2.26
—
2024158650.218.333.387.169.32426.0%11.2%14.8%20202961.87—
2023156655.254.366.424.170.34723.8%12.2%11.6%23223812.44—
2022164646.262.328.445.183.30124.1%7.1%17.0%20323702.26—
2021151604.274.359.459.185.30228.1%9.3%18.8%20223462.29—
20204276.281.387.641.360.36328.9%7.9%21.0%731463.48—
20191723.300.391.500.200.30817.4%8.7%8.7%13160.94—
15
.383
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
65
90.4
Median EV
47
92.3
90th % EV
51
105.1
Barrel %
44
8.3
Hard-Hit %
57
43.5
Sweet-Spot %
3
29.7
Bat Speed
Avg
52
70.3
Median
69
72.8
90th %
68
77.9
Plate Discipline
Chase %
73
24.3
Whiff %
17
27.3
K %
18
26.0
BB %
86
11.2
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
102
≈ 58th pctl
Chase cost
-43.7r
446 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-25.8r
481 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
40.9%
2,821 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.46
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
12+17%6+0%9+0%735-8%12+7%29-4%23+28%18+8%121+54%13-12%41-29%55-48%50-27%55+6%16+0%6+40%25+11%36-46%56-32%74-32%50+5%19+0%9+33%33+35%52+7%44-8%40+32%22+22%94+17%6+13%16+15%20+0%12+10%10+0%6CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000