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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Randy Arozarena

Randy Arozarena

OF·SEA
Compare
Compare
PA
712
H
146
HR
27
AVG
.237
xwOBA
.328
PPG
2.26
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202668287.291.384.445.154.35122.0%9.4%12.6%6181862.74—
2025176712.237
2025 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

Expected Results
xwOBA
39
.328
xBA
6
.225
xSLG
.335
.424
.187
.328
26.8%
9.0%
17.8%
27
37
398
2.26
—
2024158650.218.333.387.169.32426.0%11.2%14.8%20202961.87—
2023156655.254.366.424.170.34723.8%12.2%11.6%23223812.44—
2022164646.262.328.445.183.30124.1%7.1%17.0%20323702.26—
2021151604.274.359.459.185.30228.1%9.3%18.8%20223462.29—
20204276.281.387.641.360.36328.9%7.9%21.0%731463.48—
20191723.300.391.500.200.30817.4%8.7%8.7%13160.94—
34
.416
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
73
91.1
Median EV
87
95.2
90th % EV
64
106.6
Barrel %
66
11.5
Hard-Hit %
88
50.6
Sweet-Spot %
16
33.5
Bat Speed
Avg
42
70.1
Median
52
72.1
90th %
60
77.6
Plate Discipline
Chase %
63
25.3
Whiff %
18
27.7
K %
10
26.8
BB %
53
9.0
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
102
≈ 58th pctl
Chase cost
-46.4r
434 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-25.2r
450 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
43.9%
2,913 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.46
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
33533+17%6+13%15+3%30+11%19+5%19+0%82+42%12+0%36-39%61-20%61-33%46+12%26+0%9+54%24+15%34-29%65-26%76-26%53+28%32+8%12+33%27+47%30+16%51+16%45+5%22+14%213+10%10+38%16+0%11+0%7543CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000