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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Position cohort

Pitching value vs. RP peers

Rank #417 of 505

Each bar is one RP, ordered left-to-right by Value (blended). Center dot is VORP; whiskers span V⁻ → V⁺. This player is highlighted in blue.

-500+50+100Reynaldo López
Reynaldo López · #60
V⁻ —VORP -65V⁺ —
Reynaldo López

Reynaldo López

SP / RP·ATL
Compare
Compare
BF
166
K %
20.5%
BB %
10.8%
xwOBA
.345
PTS
70
PPG
4.67
Career Seasons
YrGGSIPWLSVHLDERAFIPK%BB%K-BB%xwOBABABIPLOB%GB%PtsPPG
Proj40666.043044.023.8223.3%8.6%14.6%————1333.32
2026 MLB Percentiles

Pitching Profile

166 BF — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Arsenal
FB Velo
58
94.1
FB Spin
6
2054
2026
15
5
37.7
3
1
0
1
4.06
4.88
20.5%
10.8%
9.7%
.345
.290
75.6%
35.4%
70
4.67
20252211.000002.454.283.8%7.7%-3.9%.466.34289.0%40.9%147.00
20242725136.085011.992.8427.2%7.7%19.5%.311.28787.0%39.6%36413.48
202370068.3376223.163.7429.9%12.2%17.7%.313.26681.6%40.3%2103.00
202264272.0640103.252.0924.8%4.3%20.5%.275.29461.7%41.0%1872.92
202122962.744003.884.5524.7%5.8%18.9%.298.23069.1%39.0%1275.77
20208826.313006.497.5419.8%12.4%7.4%.371.26473.2%37.0%121.50
20193333184.01015005.384.9320.8%8.0%12.8%.340.31669.2%34.9%2136.45
20183434196.3811003.904.6318.9%9.4%9.5%.336.26075.9%33.6%3069.00
20179953.733004.194.3714.4%6.7%7.7%.319.25965.8%29.6%808.89
Extension
50
6.51
Results
xwOBA
22
.345
Barrel %
83
6.2
Hard-Hit %
77
36.3
K %
40
20.5
BB %
13
10.8
Chase %
7
25.1
Whiff %
22
19.2
Command & Stuff

Pitching+

Expected run-value conceded per pitch against a rational hitter, standardized against the season. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Pitching+
92
≈ 22th pctl
Stuff+
87
if they swing
Command+
107
out-of-zone take RV
Strike quality+
83
RV of in-zone pitches
Crushable pitches
16.5%
68 meatballs
Putaway counts (0-2, 1-2)
0.042
RV per pitch · league 0.042
+0.000 worse than avg · 109 pitches
Lower RV = more wasted whiff chances when they choose not to put hitters away.
Hitter's counts (3-0, 3-1, 2-0)
0.026
RV per pitch · league 0.029
-0.003 better than avg · 41 pitches
How often they groove get-me-overs vs. nibble safely.
Based on 412 pitches. RV = Statcast delta_run_exp; lower = better for the pitcher.
Pitch Arsenal
PitchUsageVeloSpinIVBHBExtWhiff%Zone%CSW%Chase%PutAway%xwOBA
4-Seam FastballFF
52.1%94.02021+16.5+6.66.5110.2%64.2%27.7%24.2%25.0%0.306
SliderSL
31.9%83.4

2026 Movement Profile (Induced Break)

MLB Avg.
6"12"18"24"24"24"24"1B ◀ MOVES TOWARD ▶ 3B▲MORERISE▼MOREDROPARMANGLE41°100 PITCHSAMPLE
FFSLCUCH
Usage52%32%11%5%
MPH94.083.474.384.2
RHP Avg95.086.780.286.9
2311
-0.7
-6.1
6.51
35.7%
24.5%
24.5%
33.8%
18.8%
0.351
CurveballCU
10.8%74.32280-8.1-7.16.3841.7%36.1%22.2%17.4%27.3%0.207
ChangeupCH
5.1%84.21656+11.0+11.86.6720.0%17.6%11.8%14.3%0.0%0.617

2026 Swing-Out Snapshot

Commit at the decision point, then fast-forward 150ms. Where is each pitch when your bat crosses the zone? Two views of the same moment — catcher-facing and from the side.

Catcher View
horizontal × vertical
0.5′1′1.5′2′2.5′3′DECISIONPOINTFF · 17″CH · 19″CU · 22″SL · 24″arm side ◀ ▶ glove sidedrops ◀ ▶ rises
Side View
depth × vertical
1′2′3′4′5′6′-3′0′5′10′15′20′23′FF · 26″CH · 51″CU · 77″SL · 52″DECISION POINTPLATEfeet to plate
swing time150 ms

Each pitch is launched from a shared decision point (4.11′ height) and advanced using its own Statcast kinematics (release velocity + constant acceleration, so gravity, drag, and Magnus are all in the curve). RHP.

2026 Tunneling

Where pitches are when the hitter commits — and where they end up. Tighter cluster on the left = more deceptive arsenal.

At Decision
23 ft out · ~280ms before arrival
FFSLCUCH-2′-1′0′1′2′1′2′3′4′1B ◀ catcher view ▶ 3B
At the Plate
Where they actually cross
FFSLCUCH-2′-1′0′1′2′1′2′3′4′1B ◀ catcher view ▶ 3B
FFSLCUCH

Decision point computed from Statcast kinematics (vx0/vy0/vz0, ax/ay/az) by projecting each pitch back to y = 23 ft. Coordinates in catcher’s view: 1B on the left, 3B on the right. RHP.