Rhett Lowder
SP · CIN
MLBAM 695076
Seasons
| Yr | BF | K% | BB% | xwOBA | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 94 | 16.0% | 7.4% | 0.330 | 51 | 10.20 |
| 2024 | 130 | 16.9% | 10.8% | 0.327 | 53 | 7.57 |
2026 MLB Percentile Rankings
Arsenal
FB Velocity
35
92.7
FB Spin
47
2272
Extension
20
6.09
Results
xwOBA
44
0.330
Barrel %
51
8.3
Hard-Hit %
53
38.9
K %
17
16.0
BB %
66
7.4
Chase %
54
30.2
Whiff %
32
20.6
Command & Stuff
Pitching+
Expected run-value conceded per pitch against a rational hitter, standardized against the season. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.
Pitching+
115
≈ 93th pctl
Stuff+
93
if they swing
Command+
115
out-of-zone take RV
Strike quality+
97
RV of in-zone pitches
Crushable pitches
13.4%
54 meatballs
Putaway counts (0-2, 1-2)
0.022
RV per pitch · league 0.042
-0.021 better than avg · 101 pitches
Lower RV = more wasted whiff chances when they choose not to put hitters away.
Hitter's counts (3-0, 3-1, 2-0)
0.017
RV per pitch · league 0.029
-0.012 better than avg · 39 pitches
How often they groove get-me-overs vs. nibble safely.
Based on 403 pitches. RV = Statcast delta_run_exp; lower = better for the pitcher.
2026 Movement Profile (Induced Break)
MLB Avg.
| SI | FF | SL | CH | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Usage | 30% | 26% | 24% | 21% |
| MPH | 92.4 | 93.1 | 85.1 | 86.1 |
| RHP Avg | 94.3 | 95.0 | 86.7 | 86.9 |
2026 Tunneling
Where pitches are when the hitter commits — and where they end up. Tighter cluster on the left = more deceptive arsenal.
At Decision
23 ft out · ~280ms before arrival
At the Plate
Where they actually cross
SIFFSLCH
Decision point computed from Statcast kinematics (vx0/vy0/vz0, ax/ay/az) by projecting each pitch back to y = 23 ft. Coordinates in catcher’s view: 1B on the left, 3B on the right. RHP.
2026 Divergence from a Shared Origin
Every pitch type launched from the same decision-point — how far apart they end up by the plate. Bigger fan = harder arsenal to square up.
Distances from origin (in inches) show how far each pitch type separates itself from the common launch point by plate arrival. RHP.