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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Position cohort

Hitting value vs. 1B peers

Rank #29 of 40

Each bar is one 1B, ordered left-to-right by Value (blended). Center dot is VORP; whiskers span V⁻ → V⁺. This player is highlighted in blue.

-500+50+100Rhys Hoskins
Rhys Hoskins · #29
V⁻ -36VORP -20V⁺ 5
Rhys Hoskins

Rhys Hoskins

1B·CLE
Compare
Compare
PA
181
H
28
HR
6
AVG
.197
xwOBA
.308
PPG
1.64
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
Proj63273.220.322.403.183.32626.9%12.1%14.8%1011241.96—
202653181.197
2026 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

181 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
26
.308
xBA
0
.174
.356
.394
.197
.308
28.2%
18.8%
9.4%
6
0
87
1.64
—
202594328.237.339.416.179.31727.7%11.6%16.1%1221461.55—
2024138518.213.306.418.205.30928.8%10.2%18.6%2632531.83—
2022185674.245.333.460.215.34425.1%10.7%14.4%3024012.17—
2021114445.246.334.527.281.37924.3%10.6%13.7%2742992.62—
202044185.245.384.503.258.38023.2%15.7%7.5%1011333.02—
2019160707.226.366.453.227.34324.5%16.4%8.1%2923852.41—
2018157661.245.356.496.251.35122.7%13.2%9.5%3454332.76—
201751213.257.398.614.357.40121.6%17.4%4.2%1821923.76—
xSLG
6
.322
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
32
88.3
Median EV
49
92.4
90th % EV
22
102.2
Barrel %
75
12.8
Hard-Hit %
54
43.6
Sweet-Spot %
25
33.0
Bat Speed
Avg
46
70.2
Median
56
72.4
90th %
36
75.6
Plate Discipline
Chase %
94
20.5
Whiff %
20
27.8
K %
14
28.2
BB %
98
18.8
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
96
≈ 35th pctl
Chase cost
-5.0r
39 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-2.5r
44 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
39.9%
278 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.69
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
112511222-12%8-14%7+14%724+25%12-44%9-33%18-27%11+30%103+50%8+0%20-33%18-37%16-27%114+29%7+22%9+20%20+13%8422444212CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 278