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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Position cohort

Pitching value vs. SP peers

Each bar is one SP, ordered left-to-right by Value (blended). Center dot is VORP; whiskers span V⁻ → V⁺.

0+50+100+150
Rich Hill

Rich Hill

P·FA
Compare
Compare
Career Seasons
YrGGSIPWLSVHLDERAFIPK%BB%K-BB%xwOBABABIPLOB%GB%PtsPPG
Proj112.700005.445.3716.1%9.6%6.5%————34.60
2025229.002005.007.779.3%18.6%-9.3%.393.24170.4%48.4%-6-3.00
2024403.70100
2026 MLB Percentiles

Pitching Profile

No MLB Statcast pitching rows for 2026.

4.91
7.19
33.3%
20.0%
13.3%
.404
.000
83.3%
50.0%
3
0.75
20233328151.0815005.664.8019.5%8.8%10.7%.359.32666.0%39.0%1263.82
20222928133.098004.603.7820.7%7.0%13.7%.315.31465.6%40.7%2067.10
20213332163.788003.904.4022.7%8.3%14.4%.324.27777.8%35.9%3049.21
20208838.722003.033.9019.9%10.9%9.0%.342.24078.9%42.1%769.50
2019141461.341002.494.0829.6%7.4%22.2%.266.27688.7%52.0%16711.93
20182927154.3116003.563.7727.4%7.5%19.9%.306.26976.7%40.2%35912.38
20173131160.7138003.303.7430.0%8.9%21.1%.279.26581.8%39.3%41013.23
20162323127.7136002.332.4829.4%7.5%21.9%.259.27778.5%46.8%37016.09