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    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
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    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
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    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
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    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Position cohort

Hitting value vs. OF peers

Rank #127 of 234

Each bar is one OF, ordered left-to-right by Value (blended). Center dot is VORP; whiskers span V⁻ → V⁺. This player is highlighted in blue.

-500+50+100+150+200Richie Palacios
Richie Palacios · #60
V⁻ -33VORP -9V⁺ 1
Richie Palacios

Richie Palacios

2B / OF·TBR
Compare
Compare
PA
155
H
31
HR
1
AVG
.237
xwOBA
.300
PPG
1.63
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
Proj60259.224.314.327.102.29420.4%10.7%9.7%4101091.82—
202646155.237
2026 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

155 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
17
.300
xBA
17
.225
.351
.321
.084
.300
21.3%
12.9%
8.4%
1
6
75
1.63
—
20251748.333.404.452.119.36118.8%10.4%8.4%14342.00—
202494319.221.344.315.094.33021.0%14.1%6.9%5201631.73—
202334102.258.310.516.258.30810.8%5.9%4.9%61692.03—
202257124.230.293.283.053.27916.1%7.3%8.8%02420.74—
xSLG
2
.302
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
10
85.7
Median EV
31
91.0
90th % EV
13
101.2
Barrel %
6
3.0
Hard-Hit %
4
27.3
Sweet-Spot %
44
35.4
Bat Speed
Avg
10
66.6
Median
10
68.1
90th %
18
73.9
Plate Discipline
Chase %
52
28.8
Whiff %
48
21.1
K %
43
21.3
BB %
80
12.9
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
115
≈ 94th pctl
Chase cost
-1.9r
19 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-1.1r
25 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
38.6%
158 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-1.90
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
121212+17%63+17%6+17%631+0%6-30%10-29%14-11%18+17%6124-14%7-50%8-25%823145532112CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 158