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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Riley Adams

Riley Adams

C·WSN
Compare
Compare
PA
288
H
49
HR
8
AVG
.185
xwOBA
.275
PPG
0.57
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202583288.185.250.306.121.27538.2%6.3%31.9%81470.57—
202443130.224
2025 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

288 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
0
.275
xBA
0
.207
.297
.336
.112
.290
26.9%
7.7%
19.2%
2
1
35
0.81
—
202349158.273.333.476.203.28428.5%7.0%21.5%40711.45—
202254156.175.244.308.133.28129.5%7.7%21.8%50480.89—
202147121.220.355.380.160.32433.1%12.4%20.7%20481.02—
xSLG
4
.348
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
82
91.8
Median EV
88
95.4
90th % EV
80
107.7
Barrel %
58
10.5
Hard-Hit %
91
52.3
Sweet-Spot %
15
33.3
Bat Speed
Avg
99
76.3
Median
99
78.1
90th %
99
82.9
Plate Discipline
Chase %
29
30.8
Whiff %
7
30.5
K %
0
38.2
BB %
20
6.3
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
91
≈ 17th pctl
Chase cost
-23.7r
215 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-10.0r
179 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
48.3%
1,176 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.87
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
13+17%6+14%7+18%1112+25%8-11%9+13%24+13%30+21%29+33%15+8%13+58%19+6%32-36%67-22%54-4%54+38%24+21%14+29%31+4%47-30%57-35%69-40%48+48%23+0%8+24%21+26%31+9%32+2%41+26%19+15%13+17%6+40%10+21%14+25%8+8%13411CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000