Robbie Ray

Robbie Ray

SP · SFG
MLBAM 592662
Seasons
YrBFK%BB%xwOBAPtsPPG
20268927.0%11.2%0.3337515.00
202575524.6%9.7%0.30139912.09
202412933.3%11.6%0.3087310.43
20231915.8%26.3%0.34831.50
202277727.3%8.0%0.29942511.18
202177432.0%6.7%0.29353416.69
202025127.1%17.9%0.380393.00
201975031.3%11.2%0.32639211.53
201852731.3%13.3%0.31227911.16
201766632.7%10.7%0.29948714.76

2026 MLB Percentile Rankings

Arsenal
FB Velocity
49
93.6
FB Spin
72
2365
Extension
22
6.15
Results
xwOBA
42
0.333
Barrel %
6
14.8
Hard-Hit %
80
33.3
K %
80
27.0
BB %
23
11.2
Chase %
55
30.3
Whiff %
85
28.4
Command & Stuff

Pitching+

Expected run-value conceded per pitch against a rational hitter, standardized against the season. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Pitching+
90
15th pctl
Stuff+
114
if they swing
Command+
83
out-of-zone take RV
Strike quality+
103
RV of in-zone pitches
Crushable pitches
8.9%
42 meatballs
Putaway counts (0-2, 1-2)
0.052
RV per pitch · league 0.042
+0.010 worse than avg · 159 pitches
Lower RV = more wasted whiff chances when they choose not to put hitters away.
Hitter's counts (3-0, 3-1, 2-0)
0.030
RV per pitch · league 0.029
+0.001 worse than avg · 34 pitches
How often they groove get-me-overs vs. nibble safely.
Based on 474 pitches. RV = Statcast delta_run_exp; lower = better for the pitcher.

2026 Movement Profile (Induced Break)

MLB Avg.
6"12"18"24"24"24"24"1B ◀ MOVES TOWARD ▶ 3BMORERISEMOREDROPARMANGLE46°100 PITCHSAMPLE
FFSLCHKC
Usage46%31%14%8%
MPH93.684.985.278.4
LHP Avg93.284.784.6

2026 Tunneling

Where pitches are when the hitter commits — and where they end up. Tighter cluster on the left = more deceptive arsenal.

At Decision
23 ft out · ~280ms before arrival
FFSLCHKC-2-101212341B ◀ catcher view ▶ 3B
At the Plate
Where they actually cross
FFSLCHKC-2-101212341B ◀ catcher view ▶ 3B
FFSLCHKC

Decision point computed from Statcast kinematics (vx0/vy0/vz0, ax/ay/az) by projecting each pitch back to y = 23 ft. Coordinates in catcher’s view: 1B on the left, 3B on the right. LHP.

2026 Divergence from a Shared Origin

Every pitch type launched from the same decision-point — how far apart they end up by the plate. Bigger fan = harder arsenal to square up.

0.511.522.53DECISIONPOINTFF · 19CH · 32SL · 36KC · 47arm side ◀ ▶ glove sidedrops ◀ ▶ rises

Distances from origin (in inches) show how far each pitch type separates itself from the common launch point by plate arrival. LHP.