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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Position cohort

Hitting value vs. OF peers

Rank #52 of 234

Each bar is one OF, ordered left-to-right by Value (blended). Center dot is VORP; whiskers span V⁻ → V⁺. This player is highlighted in blue.

-500+50+100+150+200Roman Anthony
Roman Anthony · #52
V⁻ -6VORP 18V⁺ 34
Roman Anthony

Roman Anthony

OF·BOS
Compare
Compare
PA
131
H
25
HR
1
AVG
.227
xwOBA
.355
PPG
1.40
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
Proj72313.260.361.424.164.35224.4%13.0%11.3%851602.22—
202630131.227
2026 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

131 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
64
.355
xBA
51
.257
.351
.318
.091
.355
25.2%
15.3%
9.9%
1
2
42
1.40
—
202577303.292.397.463.171.37327.7%13.2%14.5%841752.27—
xSLG
38
.401
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
87
92.3
Median EV
61
93.5
90th % EV
72
106.7
Barrel %
54
9.2
Hard-Hit %
77
47.4
Sweet-Spot %
92
42.1
Bat Speed
Avg
88
74.0
Median
83
74.8
90th %
87
80.0
Plate Discipline
Chase %
92
21.6
Whiff %
28
25.6
K %
23
25.2
BB %
93
15.3
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
95
≈ 29th pctl
Chase cost
-5.5r
48 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-5.0r
85 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
36.8%
380 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.76
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
2243211+33%6+27%11-10%21+6%18+30%10+0%82+13%8-5%22-48%25-54%28-37%2455+27%15+11%19-73%22-38%26-19%16+33%65+11%9-11%94413333111CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 380