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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Ryan Jeffers

Ryan Jeffers

C·MIN
Compare
Compare
PA
337
H
79
HR
14
AVG
.274
xwOBA
.336
PPG
1.86
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202637148.293.408.537.244.38915.5%15.5%0.0%711203.24—
2025119466.265
2023 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

337 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
47
.336
xBA
7
.228
.355
.395
.130
.326
19.5%
10.7%
8.8%
9
1
226
1.90
—
2024124465.226.303.432.206.30820.2%6.9%13.3%2132612.10—
2023100337.274.369.486.212.33627.6%9.8%17.8%1431861.86—
202275236.208.285.363.155.32526.3%9.7%16.6%701081.44—
202188294.198.269.399.201.29736.7%7.5%29.2%140971.10—
20202562.273.355.436.163.34830.6%8.1%22.5%30220.88—
xSLG
48
.438
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
38
88.9
Median EV
53
92.5
90th % EV
59
105.9
Barrel %
76
11.6
Hard-Hit %
54
42.7
Sweet-Spot %
47
35.7
Bat Speed
Avg
68
71.6
Median
78
73.9
90th %
86
79.5
Plate Discipline
Chase %
35
30.1
Whiff %
24
26.5
K %
12
27.6
BB %
59
9.8
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
88
≈ 11th pctl
Chase cost
-26.4r
272 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-16.3r
232 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
45.2%
1,432 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.98
lg avg -2.54
Count
View
243+17%6421+38%8+0%14-5%20+25%16+43%23+18%11+23%13+35%17-21%38-33%57-39%49-20%40+67%30+25%8+41%32-2%50-30%71-32%69-17%48+57%23+36%11+21%24+46%41+31%36+6%32-5%19+64%143+27%11+25%12+14%7+10%10+22%942CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000